Is hard seltzer declining?

Answered by Marvin Richey

As an expert sommelier and brewer, I have observed a significant decline in the popularity of in recent times. This observation is not isolated, as national figures also support this trend, indicating a decline in sales of hard seltzer last year for the first time. Personally, I have noticed a massive decrease in the presence of hard seltzer in stores, further affirming this decline.

The decline in hard seltzer's popularity can be attributed to various factors. Firstly, the market has become saturated with numerous brands and flavors of hard seltzer. Initially, the introduction of hard seltzer was met with excitement and curiosity, leading to a surge in demand. However, as more and more brands entered the market, consumers were presented with a plethora of options, leading to a dilution of interest.

Additionally, the novelty factor of hard seltzer seems to have worn off. When hard seltzer first gained popularity, it was seen as a refreshing and innovative alternative to traditional alcoholic beverages. Its low calorie and low sugar content appealed to health-conscious consumers. However, as time passed, consumers began to seek out other alternatives and explore different trends.

Moreover, the rise of other beverage categories, such as canned and ready-to-drink (RTD) options, has diverted consumer attention away from hard seltzer. These categories offer a broader range of flavors and often have a higher content, providing consumers with more variety and a stronger alcoholic kick.

Another factor contributing to the decline of hard seltzer is the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic has altered consumer behavior and preferences, with many people turning to more familiar and comforting choices during these uncertain times. Traditional alcoholic beverages like and have seen a resurgence, as consumers seek solace in familiar tastes and experiences.

Furthermore, the decline in hard seltzer's popularity can also be attributed to changing seasonal preferences. Hard seltzer gained significant traction during the summer months when its light and refreshing nature appealed to consumers seeking a cool and crisp beverage. However, as the seasons changed, consumers naturally gravitated towards more warming and indulgent options, such as mulled wine and spiced cocktails, further impacting the demand for hard seltzer.

The decline in hard seltzer's popularity is evident both in my personal observations as an expert sommelier and brewer and in national sales figures. The market saturation, diminishing novelty factor, competition from other beverage categories, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and changing seasonal preferences all contribute to this decline. The future of hard seltzer remains uncertain, and it will be interesting to see how the industry adapts and innovates to regain consumer interest in the coming years.