Why is hard seltzer declining?

Answered by Michael Blake

The decline in can be attributed to various factors that have affected consumer interest and company involvement in the category. As an expert sommelier and brewer, I have observed these changes in the industry and can provide insights into why hard seltzer is declining.

1. Shifting Consumer Interests: One of the primary reasons for the decline in hard seltzer is the shifting interests of consumers. While hard seltzer gained popularity initially due to its low calorie and low sugar content, consumer preferences have evolved over time. Many consumers are now looking for more unique and complex flavors in their beverages, which hard seltzers often lack. The initial novelty of hard seltzer has worn off, and consumers are seeking new and exciting options.

2. Saturation of the Market: The hard seltzer market has become increasingly crowded with a multitude of brands and flavors. This saturation has led to a dilution of consumer attention and loyalty. With so many options available, consumers are more likely to experiment with different brands and flavors, leading to a decline in sales for individual products. Additionally, the intense competition has resulted in price wars and promotional activities, which can negatively impact the profitability of hard seltzer brands.

3. Lack of Product Differentiation: Many hard seltzer brands suffer from a lack of product differentiation. While the initial wave of hard seltzers brought a refreshing change to the alcoholic market, subsequent entrants failed to bring anything new or unique to the table. This lack of innovation and differentiation has made it difficult for brands to stand out and maintain consumer interest over time.

4. Seasonal Nature of Consumption: Hard seltzers are often associated with warm weather and outdoor activities. Sales tend to peak during the summer months when consumers are looking for light and refreshing beverages. However, as the weather cools down, the demand for hard seltzers naturally declines. This seasonal nature of consumption can contribute to the overall decline in the category.

5. Company Strategy and Priorities: Along with the shifting interest of consumers, some companies have simply decided to minimize their involvement in hard seltzer or leave the category altogether. This could be due to various reasons such as a change in strategic focus, resource allocation, or a shift towards other emerging trends in the beverage industry. When companies reduce their investment in hard seltzer, it can result in a decline in overall category sales.

6. Health and Wellness Trends: While hard seltzers initially gained popularity due to their perceived health benefits, the category has faced challenges as consumers become more conscious of what they consume. Although hard seltzers are often marketed as a healthier alternative to other alcoholic beverages, they still contain and may not align with certain health and wellness trends such as the rise of options or organic beverages.

The decline in hard seltzer can be attributed to shifting consumer interests, market saturation, lack of product differentiation, seasonal consumption patterns, company strategies, and health and wellness trends. These factors have collectively impacted the category, resulting in a decline in sales. As the beverage industry continues to evolve, it will be interesting to see how hard seltzer brands adapt and innovate to regain consumer interest and drive growth in the future.